Sharekhan bullish on ITC shares, revises price target on growth potential 

By Markets Desk | September 18, 2024

The analysts at the domestic brokerage Sharekhan are bullish on diversified entity ITC Ltd, retaining their 'BUY' call on the stock.

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ITC

The analysts at the brokerage expect ITC’s FMCG business to clock a CAGR of 15% over FY2024-27. The non-cigarette FMCG business has a strong potential to grow by low to mid-teens with EBITDA margins improving by 80-100 bps per annum in near term.

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Better times ahead for FMCG

The brokerage has retained its buy call, recommending a share price target of Rs 595 per share, an upside potential of about 16 percent.

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Share price target 

With the tax rate on cigarettes kept unchanged in the Union Budget, ITC’s cigarette business is expected to achieve steady volume growth in the quarters ahead, the report noted.

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Cigarettes to achieve steady volume growth

The company expects demand to recover prior to festive season in ITC's paperboard, paper & packaging (PPP) business.  Recovery in the business and low base will help the PPP business to achieve strong growth in FY2025, it said.

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PPP business to post recovery from Q2

The report said that it expect ITC’s earnings to grow in double digits over the next two years. "Its valuations at 24x/22x its FY2026E and FY2027E earnings is at a discount as compared to large peers," it said.

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'Earnings to grow in double digits'

Any substantial increase in the tax rate on cigarettes by the government or slowdown in the consumer demand likely to act as a key risk to the earnings estimates in the near term, the Sharekhan report said.

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Key Risks

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