World Cup 2023: The Improbable Equation Pakistan Face to Make the Semis

Producer: Aditya Maheshwari

New Zealand beat Sri Lanka by five wickets in their last league match to all but book their semi-final spot at the World Cup.

Afghanistan and Pakistan remain in the race for the remaining final-four spot with one match left but need improbable winning margins.

New Zealand Played: 9, Points: 10, Net run-rate: 0.743 New Zealand can now only wait for Pakistan and Afghanistan to finish their league stage.

Pakistan Played: 8, Points: 8, Net run-rate: 0.036 The 1992 champions have to win their final match by at least 287 runs.

If they are chasing, they need to dismiss England for 50 runs and chase the target in two overs or 100 runs in three overs.

Afghanistan Played: 8, Points: 8, Net run-rate: -0.338 Afghanistan need to win by at least 438 runs to surpass New Zealand on net run-rate.

Afghanistan's odds are even lesser given that their net run rate is further lower than Pakistan's.